Surging Oil Prices Triggered by Mounting Supply Deficit Concerns

Oil prices surged in early trade on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive session of increases. The weak shale output in the U.S. has raised concerns about a supply deficit caused by extended production cuts in Saudi Arabia and Russia.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 1 percent to $92.38, just below a 10-month high, while global oil benchmark Brent crude futures increased by 0.3 percent to $94.70 per barrel.

The upward trend in prices has continued for three consecutive weeks.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that U.S. shale output is expected to decline to 9.393 million barrels per day (bpd) in October, the lowest level since May 2023. This would mark three consecutive months of decline.

These estimates come after Saudi Arabia and Russia extended their combined supply cuts of 1.3 million bpd until the end of the year.

Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, defended OPEC+ cuts to oil market supply, emphasizing the need for light-handed regulation to limit volatility. He also expressed concerns about uncertainty surrounding Chinese demand, European growth, and central bank action to combat inflation.



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