A viral video circulating online captures a drone attack in Moscow City, where the drone flies through the skyscrapers before crashing into a glass tower and exploding into a ball of fire. The woman filming the incident expresses fear and announces her plans to leave the city. This attack is part of a series of drone strikes on Moscow, including an assault on the Kremlin and various attacks on Russia’s military infrastructure. Ukraine has recently used a sea drone to target a Russian naval vessel in the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk, marking the first attack on Moscow’s oil infrastructure. Analysts believe that these drone attacks serve the purpose of disproving Russian President Vladimir Putin’s narrative that the conflict in Ukraine does not affect Russia. Instead, they aim to showcase that it is a real war. By attacking Moscow and its centers of power, Ukraine hopes to demonstrate that Russia is not invincible and vulnerable even within its capital.
The impact of these drone strikes is becoming evident, as some tenants in Moscow City reportedly seek office space elsewhere due to safety concerns. Employees express fear of being in the office and management advises against staying after 11 PM. Moscow City’s popularity may be affected, and companies have instructed their staff to work remotely. However, some Moscow residents outside the business district do not feel directly affected by these attacks. Military experts believe that Ukraine is also strategically using the drone strikes to divert Russia’s attention from the conflict in Ukraine and put pressure on its military. While it is unclear if the Kremlin has reallocated resources in response to these attacks, they have highlighted the Russian military’s inability to defend national airspace. This can potentially undermine troop morale and offer an advantage to Ukraine in their counteroffensive.
Analysts suggest that Ukraine resorts to drone attacks due to their lack of other long-range options. It demonstrates Ukraine’s resilience to address a need that has not been fulfilled by the West. Open-source intelligence suggests that Ukrainian-made drones, such as the UJ-22 by Ukrjet, have been frequently used in these attacks. Ukrainian blogger Ihor Lachenkov has also raised funds for the Beaver drone project, which aims to develop kamikaze drones with a range of 1,000km. Videos during the Moscow attacks show Beaver drones in action. Ukraine is in the early stages of developing longer-range marine drones, including the Magura V5 and a drone torpedo known as the Toloka. Analysts believe that Ukraine will eventually target key Russian military facilities with their drone attacks.
Lieutenant General Ihor Romanenko, a former deputy head of Ukraine’s general staff, emphasizes that Ukraine will not let up on its attacks. He believes that the Russian population, which has supported Putin for over 20 years, needs to realize that they are not protected by him and that action needs to be taken against their leadership.
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