Top Fantasy Football Picks for Week 11: Sleepers, Projections, Starts, Sits | Featuring Jaylen Warren, Jalen Guyton and More

Experience the Week 11 shakeups in rankings after big performances from Ty Chandler, Devin Singletary, Noah Brown, and the return of Kyler Murray. Discover the new lead running back for the Steelers, Jaylen Warren… or is he? Uncover the Week 11 fantasy football rankings, game previews, sleepers, and more here as you set your lineups.

Week 11 Waivers | Week 11 SOS Ranks (THU)
Fantasy Football 101 (weather, lineups, trading, more)
All in Football Podcast

** BYES: ATL, IND, NE, NO **

Acronyms to Know
RBTouch% — RB touch percentage — percent of team total RB touches that player had
TmTGT% — Team target percentage — percent of team total targets going to that player
G2G and GL — Goal-to-Go (inside the 10-yard line) and Goal-Line (inside the 5-yard line)
TmAirYD% — Team Air Yard percentage — percent of team total air yards going to that player
CPOE — Completion percentage over expectation — allowed completion percentage adjusting for difficulty of the pass (depth, coverage, etc.)
Stuff% — A run that doesn’t go for a touchdown, 4+ yards on first down or 3+ yards on any other down
Explosive Run — Any rush of 15+ yards
YPRR — Yards per Route Run — rather valuable indicator

NOTE: ALL of the stats are SINCE WEEK 5 — unless noted. That’s because it’s good to look at recent performance versus year-long with defenses, etc., as in-season adjustments can change things.

For example, the Broncos were the worst defense early on, but since Week 5, they’re Top 10 (difficult).

Bengals at Ravens, TNF
When Tee Higgins missed Week 5, Ja’Marr Chase dominated the targets with 43.2 TmTGT%, going 19-15-192-3, and Trenton Irwin was second with 10-8-60-0, ahead of Tyler Boyd at 7-6-39-0. Last week, Boyd led with 30.8 TmTGT% while Chase had 6-5-124-1 and Irwin 4-2-54-1. I’d expect more of last week against the Ravens, as they’ve been more vulnerable to the slot than outside receivers. Joe Burrow had a 57.6 Comp%, 69.1 Pass Rating, 1.3% TD/ATT and 7.9 FPPG through Week 5, and 74.1%, 107.0, 6.1% and 21.4 since — all Top 5. Lamar Jackson is mid-pack in OFFTGT% (11.6), but Odell Beckham (25.7%) and Rashod Bateman (24.1%) rank first and T-4, respectively, for the highest percent of targets that are OFFTGT this year (min 20 targets).

Steelers at Browns, 1 p.m.
The Browns and Steelers allow the two lowest Comp% for opposing QBs (56.9 and 57.9, respectively). Deshaun Watson ranks 32nd (58.0%) and Kenny Pickett 25th (61.9%) among the 37 QBs with 50+ attempts. Through Week 9, Najee Harris had 56.9 RBTouch%, 8.5 FPPG and 4.2 YPT while Jaylen Warren had 42.1%, 8.5 FPPG, 5.6. In Week 10, when reports say Warren was told he would be the “starter,” Harris had 52.8 RBTouch%, 17.1 points and 5.1 YPT to 47.2%, 18.0 and 6.5 for Warren, who is also third in missed tackles forced per rush (0.46) while Harris is T-31 (0.22) among RBs with a minimum of 25 attempts. Harris has a rushing touchdown in three of the past four games, and the Browns have actually given up seven rushing touchdowns, second only to the Colts/Giants/Panthers with nine. The Browns also allow the most YPRR at 13.0, tied with the Bengals. The Jets allow the lowest at 9.0, tied with the Bears. Welcome to perplexity and burstiness!


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