GOP Members in House and Senate on Course for Internal Disagreement Regarding Ukraine

Senate and House Republicans are preparing for an internal clash concerning President Biden’s request for an additional $24 billion to continue funding the war and humanitarian aid in Ukraine.

The GOP’s divisions over the war were evident at the recent presidential debate. Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, former Vice President Mike Pence, and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who hold traditional national security views, clashed with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy, who advocate for an America-first perspective gaining traction among Trump-aligned Republicans.

Polls indicate that a majority of Republicans are skeptical about providing more aid to Ukraine, but Senate Republican sources expect most Senate and House Republicans to ultimately support another Ukraine package. However, they anticipate opposition from conservatives in both chambers.

A nationwide poll conducted by SSRS, an independent research company, for CNN in July found that 55 percent of Americans and 71 percent of Republicans oppose Congress authorizing additional funding for Ukraine.

In a recent vote, 70 House Republicans supported an amendment to cut off all security assistance to Ukraine, but it failed by a vote of 70-358. This vote revealed that Speaker Kevin McCarthy will need to rely on Democrats to pass any bill to maintain weapons and economic aid to Ukraine.

McCarthy is likely to face pressure from conservatives in his conference to demand spending concessions to offset the cost of a Ukraine supplemental spending bill. In June, McCarthy stated that additional money from Ukraine above the budget caps set for 2024 will not be approved.

Representative Ronny Jackson cautioned that ignoring conservatives’ demands for spending cuts and other reforms could jeopardize McCarthy’s Speakership.

President Biden has requested lawmakers to provide $40 billion in emergency spending for the war in Ukraine, federal disaster funds, and increased border security.

The timing of the package in the Senate is uncertain due to opposition from House conservatives and questions about whether McCarthy will rely on Democrats to pass the emergency bill.

The Republican Party’s divisions over providing military and humanitarian assistance are evident among senators and House members. Most Republicans agree that there should be checks on Ukraine funding, rather than providing a blank check.

Ramaswamy argued that the same military resources used for the war should be used to address the “invasion” of migrants across the Southern border, emphasizing concerns about Russia aligning further with China.

Attaching Ukraine funding and emergency disaster assistance to a stopgap government funding measure is an option, but it may face resistance in the lower chamber. Democrats are also cautious about the nation’s commitment to the war.

House conservatives are opposing any continuing resolution that continues Democrats’ high COVID-era spending and are calling for lower defense and nondefense spending numbers.

There is a possibility that McCarthy will be pressured to ensure that any new money for Ukraine aligns with the spending caps agreed upon in May.

Senate Democrats and many Senate Republicans are not interested in cutting defense and nondefense programs beyond what was agreed upon in raising the debt limit.

Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell pointed out that most of the money spent on Ukraine is used domestically to replenish weapons.

A Senate Republican aide predicted that there will ultimately be enough Republican support in both chambers to pass another bill supporting Ukraine.

Haley, Pence, and Christie emphasized the serious national security consequences if the United States withdraws from the conflict in Ukraine.

In conclusion, Senate and House Republicans are preparing for an internal battle over President Biden’s request for additional funding for Ukraine. The party is divided on the issue, but polls indicate that a majority of Republicans are skeptical about providing more aid. The timing of the package is uncertain, and Speaker McCarthy may face pressure from conservatives to demand spending concessions. However, there is expected to be enough Republican support in both chambers to pass a bill supporting Ukraine.

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