Will the Liberals and Tories maintain their seats as early byelection results come in?

The results of the federal byelections that will determine the composition of the House of Commons began rolling in on Monday night. Early tallies as of 11 p.m. Eastern suggest that the Liberals and Conservatives may retain their two seats each.

As predicted by pollsters, some of the races appeared to be tighter compared to previous elections, indicating that the final results may not be known until Tuesday morning.

Global News has not declared any winners yet, as Elections Canada still considers the early results preliminary.

Here is the current vote count for each riding as of 11 p.m. Eastern:

Maxime Bernier, the leader of the People’s Party of Canada, seems to be trailing in his bid to rejoin the House of Commons.

By Monday night, Conservative candidate and former Parliament Hill staffer Branden Leslie had a significant lead over his competitors, earning about two-thirds of the vote in early counting.

In the previous federal election, Bernier’s candidate received nearly 22% of the vote in Portage-Lisgar. However, prominent Conservative Candice Bergen still won the seat with over half of the votes. Bergen announced last fall that she was stepping down after serving as interim party leader.

All attention was focused on whether the PPC could improve their performance in 2021 by attracting more votes from the Conservatives’ right flank. As of Monday night, Bernier was averaging less than 20% of the ballots cast.

Ben Carr seems to be on track to maintain the Liberal-held riding of Winnipeg South Centre, as well as keeping it within his family following the passing of his father, the late Jim Carr. Jim Carr was a former member of Parliament and cabinet minister who passed away in December 2022. Ben Carr, the vice-president of Indigenous Strategy Alliance and a former teacher, coach, principal, and federal Liberal government staffer, gained around half of the votes as more polls reported.

Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount, another safe Liberal riding, is likely to remain in the red with Anna Gainey, a prominent Liberal insider, leading with approximately 50% of the vote. Gainey, a former party president and policy adviser to national defence and veterans’ affairs ministers, will replace former cabinet minister Marc Garneau, who retired in March.