The Ultimate Guide to S&P 500 Average Returns: What You Need to Know

List of Annual Returns With Dividends for the S&P 500

Here is a list of annual returns for the S&P 500 from 1995 to 2022:

Year Annual Returns
1995 37.20%
1996 22.68%
1997 33.10%
1998 28.34%
1999 20.89%
2000 -9.03%
2001 -11.85%
2002 -21.97%
2003 28.36%
2004 10.74%
2005 4.83%
2006 15.61%
2007 5.48%
2008 -36.55%
2009 25.94%
2010 14.82%
2011 2.10%
2012 15.89%
2013 32.15%
2014 13.52%
2015 1.38%
2016 11.77%
2017 21.61%
2018 -4.23%
2019 31.21%
2020 18.02%
2021 28.47%
2022 -18.01%

Source: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern School of Business

Impact of Inflation and Market Timing on S&P 500 Returns

Many factors, including inflation and market timing, can influence an investor’s S&P 500 returns.

How Inflation Affects S&P 500 Returns

Inflation significantly impacts the historical average annual return of the S&P 500, which stands at approximately 6.29% when adjusted for inflation. However, the accuracy of this inflation-adjusted average is challenged, as it relies on data from the Consumer Price Index, believed by some analysts to understate the true inflation rate.

How Market Timing Affects S&P 500 Returns

The timing of entry into the market is crucial for S&P 500 investors. For example, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust performed well for investors who bought between 1996 and 2000, but saw a consistent downward trend from 2000 to 2002. While timing plays a role in returns, predicting market lows and highs is difficult, advising against market timing, especially for new investors.

Investing in the S&P 500 Index

Investors cannot invest directly in the S&P 500 as it is an index, not an individual stock or fund. However, they can purchase stocks of S&P Global or invest in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and index funds that mirror the index.

How to Invest In the S&P 500

To invest in the S&P 500, consider opening an account with a reputable brokerage firm like Vanguard, Fidelity, or Charles Schwab, and choose an ETF or index fund that tracks the S&P 500. Examples of these funds include SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), and others.

Average Rate of Return for the S&P 500

The average annualized return for the S&P 500 over the last 20 years is 8.14%, while for the last 10 years, it is 12.74%.

Does the S&P 500 Return Include Dividends?

Standard S&P 500 returns do not include dividends, but a more comprehensive analysis, such as the list by Aswath Damodaran, accounts for dividends to provide a more accurate picture of returns over time.

The Bottom Line

The S&P 500 has a long-standing history of producing returns. While investing in funds tracking the index is not without risks, it offers a suitable choice for investors seeking long-term growth.

Reference

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