Is War with Mexico a Possibility? The 2024 Ballot Suggests So.
The campaign rhetoric of numerous Republican candidates hints at the possibility of a war with Mexico in the near future. In January, two well-respected Republican House members, Dan Crenshaw of Texas and Mike Waltz of Florida, introduced a bill that would authorize military force within Mexico. It is worth noting that these individuals have impressive credentials, such as Crenshaw being a former Navy SEAL with a master’s degree from Harvard and Waltz serving as the counterterrorism adviser to Vice President Dick Cheney.
Support for military operations within Mexico extends to Republican senators as well. Last September, Tom Cotton of Arkansas proposed the use of special operators and elite tactical units in law enforcement to combat drug cartels. Furthermore, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina declared that America is under attack by foreign drug cartels in Mexico, suggesting the need for military action against them. Even former President Donald Trump, who is once again a front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, has reportedly discussed war plans and deploying Special Operations teams into Mexico.
The idea of a war with Mexico becomes even more prominent when considering Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ proposal for a selective naval blockade of Mexican ports to intercept precursor chemicals used in the production of fentanyl. While some proponents of military action emphasize the need for cooperation with the Mexican government, others omit this caveat when promoting the idea in the media. Greg Gutfeld of Fox News, for example, argued for bombing Mexican cartels, regardless of Mexico’s agreement, stating that they are a threat to the United States.
It is important to acknowledge that much of this talk may be seen as rhetorical rather than literal. Republican politicians and conservatives face a dilemma as synthetic opioids continue to cause death and suffering in the United States. Historically, the Republican approach to drug crises involved tougher penalties and increased law enforcement powers. However, the current opioid crisis affects a broader demographic, including many non-Hispanic white Americans in both urban and rural areas. As a result, Republican lawmakers are less inclined to support a domestic crackdown that would criminalize a significant portion of their own constituents.
While bomb-Mexico talk may serve as a way to shift blame and satisfy a desire for tough action, it carries political dangers. Threats of unilateral U.S. intervention alienate opinion within Mexico and contribute to increased resentment. Mexican political leaders aiming to strengthen the partnership with the United States are undermined, empowering those who exploit anti-American sentiment. Furthermore, such rhetoric enhances the power of criminals within Mexico, as they have historically benefited from nationalist sentiments.
Perhaps the most concerning aspect is the radicalization of Republican voters through the proliferation and validation of war talk. Over time, such rhetoric becomes acceptable and may even lead to actual military action. Republican politicians must consider the risks associated with their proposals. The Mexican drug cartels, despite their lethal activities, are driven by profit and avoid direct confrontations with the United States. It is crucial to approach this issue with a clear understanding of the complexities involved.
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