Lidia, a tropical storm, emerged in the North Pacific Ocean on Tuesday afternoon, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. The storm has sustained wind speeds of 40 mph. When tropical-storm-force winds, with speeds of at least 39 mph, start to hit, it signals the beginning of deteriorating weather conditions. Experts recommend completing storm preparations and evacuating if necessary by the estimated arrival time of these winds.
Arrival times and likelihood of damaging winds:
| Tropical-storm speeds or greater | Estimated Arrival Time |
|---|---|
| City 1 | XX:XX PM |
| City 2 | XX:XX PM |
| City 3 | XX:XX PM |
| City 4 | XX:XX PM |
| City 5 | XX:XX PM |
| City 6 | XX:XX PM |
| City 7 | XX:XX PM |
| City 8 | XX:XX PM |
| City 9 | XX:XX PM |
Lidia is the 12th named storm to form in the Eastern Pacific in 2023. Storms in the Atlantic pose a greater threat to North America as they generally move west. However, storms that form close to the Pacific’s shores can still bring damaging winds and rain before heading out to sea. Sometimes, an air mass can block a storm, causing it to move north or northeast towards the Baja California peninsula and the west coast of Mexico. In rare cases, storms can even make their way across states, like Hurricane Nora in 1997.
The hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific begins on May 15, two weeks before the Atlantic season. These seasons run until November 30. This year, the likely development of El Niño, an intermittent large-scale weather pattern, could complicate matters in the Pacific. El Niño reduces wind shear, increasing the chances of storm formation. In contrast, it has the opposite effect in the Atlantic, reducing the chances of storm formation.
Sources and Notes:
Tracking map: National Hurricane Center
Arrivals table: New York Times analysis of National Hurricane Center data (arrival times); U.S. Census Bureau and Natural Earth (geographic locations); Google (time zones)
Note: The table shows predicted arrival times of tropical-storm-force winds at selected cities. “Earliest possible” times indicate a 10 percent chance of arrival, while “most likely” times are when there is an equal chance of arrival before and after the shown time.
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