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July Set to Break Temperature Records with 1.5C Increase
According to the latest scientific forecasts, the month of July is expected to be the hottest ever recorded. The global average temperature is around 1.5C higher than pre-industrial levels due to human-induced warming. The first three weeks of July have already been the warmest stretch on record, and it is now highly likely that this month will be the hottest ever.
Global Temperatures Continue to Rise
The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service has reported that the global average sea surface temperature has been significantly higher than usual since May. This continuous increase in temperature is consistent with the rise in global temperatures caused by climate change. Copernicus Director Carlo Buontempo believes that the next few months will also break temperature records, as the hottest 21 days ever recorded have all occurred in July.
António Guterres Expresses Concern Over Rapid Temperature Rise
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres has expressed his alarm at the rapid increase in global temperatures. He stated that the rise in temperature is “terrifying” and emphasized that climate change is a pressing issue that needs urgent action. Guterres also criticized the level of fossil fuel profits and the lack of action taken to combat climate change.
Temporary Breach of 1.5C Threshold Not a Breach of Paris Agreement
Although there has been a temporary breach of the 1.5C threshold, it does not violate the commitments outlined in the Paris Agreement. The agreement aims to limit long-term warming to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. However, temperatures have already risen by at least 1.1C on that basis, as reported by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
Extreme Weather Events Becoming More Frequent
Scientists warn that extreme weather events such as floods and heatwaves will become more frequent and intense with every fraction of a degree of warming. The World Meteorological Organization has confirmed that June was also the hottest month on record. They predict that there is a 98% chance that at least one of the next five years will be the warmest ever.
Heatwaves Hit Large Areas of Europe, US, and Asia
Large areas of Europe, the US, and Asia are currently experiencing extreme temperatures. Record-breaking heat has been observed in places like Xinjiang, China and Rome, Italy. Phoenix, Arizona in the US has also set a new record with 26 consecutive days of temperatures above 43.3C (110F). These heatwaves, fueled by specific jet stream patterns, have led to wildfires and heat-related fatalities in various countries.
July Heatwaves Linked to Climate Change
The World Weather Attribution academic research group has stated that the July heatwaves would have been “virtually impossible without climate change.” Furthermore, researchers have found that the average global temperature in July was 1.3-1.7C higher than the pre-industrial era. The month was also 0.2C warmer than July 2019, previously the warmest on record.
2023 Projected to Be Record-Breaking Year
Researchers anticipate that 2023 will be the warmest year on record, surpassing the previous record set in 2016. They predict that this trend will continue due to the developing El Niño weather phenomenon, which is associated with the warming of the Pacific Ocean’s surface temperature.
UK’s Warmest Year on Record, but Not for Long
The Met Office has concluded that last year was the UK’s warmest on record. However, they predict that by 2060, such a year will be considered “average,” and by 2100, it will be considered “cool” if global warming continues.
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