Is it possible for carbon markets to quicken the journey towards achieving net zero?

In 1987, Dennis Bakke, then CEO of Applied Energy Services, faced the reality of the devastating impact of fossil fuels on climate change. His solution? Offsetting carbon emissions through reforestation in developing countries. This groundbreaking idea, proposed by AES executive Sheryl Sturges, led to the planting of 52 million trees in Guatemala. Over four decades, these trees would sequester 19 million tonnes of carbon, making it one of the earliest examples of carbon offsetting. Today, carbon offsets play a crucial role in funding efforts to reduce emissions and combat climate change.

Carbon offsets are now linked to various projects, including forestry management, wetland conservation, carbon capture, and renewable energy technologies. They have become valuable tradeable assets in a rapidly growing market. Compliance markets, such as the EU Emissions Trading System and California’s cap-and-trade program, cover jurisdictions representing 55% of global GDP, dwarfing the voluntary carbon markets in size.

While compliance markets have seen exponential growth, voluntary carbon markets have also gained traction. In 2021, the value of transactions in voluntary markets rose sharply from $520 million to $2 billion, according to the Ecosystem Marketplace. However, challenges arise in implementing these markets effectively, raising questions about their impact on global emissions.

One challenge is the risk of greenwashing, where companies falsely claim to be environmentally friendly by purchasing credits that may not be credible or verifiable. A survey of FT Moral Money readers revealed that voluntary carbon markets currently do not supply enough credible offsets to meet organizations’ demands. However, offsets still play a vital role as companies work towards reducing their emissions.

Recognizing the importance of carbon markets, policymakers, standards bodies, and innovators are taking action. Regulatory frameworks are being adjusted, integrity is being brought to unregulated markets, and technology is being utilized for trading and tracking projects. The ultimate question, though, is whether these developments can overcome hurdles quickly enough to mitigate catastrophic climate change.

The implementation of carbon trading faces complexities globally. While the concept of carbon offsets is simple, ensuring their effectiveness is challenging. Government-run schemes require a balance between tightening emissions caps and avoiding “leakage” of pollution to non-regulated areas. Bringing more industries into carbon trading schemes can also lead to resistance from those concerned about increased costs for consumers.

Furthermore, voluntary markets have faced criticism and skepticism. Some argue that they create an excuse for companies to avoid emission reductions. Questions about the climate benefits of nature-based projects and their long-term permanence also arise. Additionally, it is difficult to confirm the actual reduction in emissions resulting from the purchase of carbon credits.

Buyers in the market struggle to navigate these complexities and seek external guidance for higher-quality credits. While the voluntary market’s impact on global emissions is debatable, organizations involved in offset projects have faced accusations of exaggerated claims. The technical complexities involved in verifying offsets contribute to these challenges.

Despite these hurdles, carbon offsets remain significant in the journey towards net-zero emissions. Companies must prioritize emission reductions but often cannot eliminate them entirely in the short term. Voluntary carbon markets can complement these efforts and play a meaningful role in achieving net-zero goals.

As awareness grows, policymakers, standards bodies, and innovators are working to improve the carbon market landscape. However, a collective effort is needed to ensure the effectiveness of these markets in reducing emissions and addressing climate change.

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