Special counsel Jack Smith has presented a compelling case against Donald Trump regarding classified documents. Even William Barr, Trump’s former attorney general, stated that if even half of the allegations are true, Trump is in serious trouble. This information was shared on Fox News on Sunday, according to USA Today. While some describe it as a “slam dunk,” Paul Rosenzweig from the Atlantic sees it as a difficult shot from beyond the 3-point arc. Although Smith has presented extensive evidence suggesting Trump’s guilt in obtaining the documents illegally and obstructing the investigation, there is still a reasonable chance that he will not be convicted.
Rosenzweig outlines the reasons why a conviction may be challenging:
- The judge: Smith has an unfortunate disadvantage with Judge Aileen Cannon, a Trump appointee who will have a significant impact on the case. Judge Cannon’s decisions regarding the admissibility of evidence could influence the outcome.
- The jury: The trial taking place in Florida instead of DC gives Trump a higher probability of having sympathetic jurors. While jurors can be swayed, Rosenzweig notes that convictions related to Trump, such as Paul Manafort and Steve Bannon, have mostly occurred in jurisdictions that were unfriendly towards Trump. There is also a legitimate concern about “jury nullification,” where a single juror disregards all evidence and votes to acquit Trump.
Read the full essay by Rosenzweig for more details. (Read more stories about the Mar-a-Lago indictment.)
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