How Heartland America’s Onetime Battleground State Turned Bright Red

Iowa has undergone a significant political shift from purple to deep red. Governor Kim Reynolds, a Republican, recently signed a controversial bill into law that heavily restricts abortion in the state. This bill, which would prohibit most abortions after six weeks of pregnancy, is emblematic of the GOP’s control over Iowa’s political landscape. Over the past twelve years, Iowa has transformed from a crucial battleground state to a solidly red one, with Republicans in power across various levels of government, including the governor’s office, the state legislature, and Iowa’s entire congressional delegation.

Reynolds has made headlines this year by signing laws that limit gender transition treatments for minors, allow families to use public funds for private school tuition, and make changes to child labor rules. These actions reflect the GOP’s efforts to transform Iowa from a swing state into a bastion of conservatism. In a statement, the governor expressed her pride in Iowa’s “historic” legislative session, presenting the state as a symbol of freedom and opportunity.

It wasn’t so long ago that Democrats were competitive in Iowa, holding the governor’s office for twelve consecutive years and one of the two U.S. Senate seats for three decades. However, the tide has turned, and Democrats have not won a gubernatorial election since 2006 or a Senate contest since 2008. In the presidential race, former President Barack Obama secured Iowa’s support with a nearly 10-point victory in 2008 and a six-point victory in 2012. But in 2016, former President Donald Trump won the state by nine points, and he carried it by eight points in his 2020 re-election bid.

The political makeup of Iowa has undergone remarkable change, as noted by Democratic consultant Jeff Link. He highlighted the significant shift in traditionally Democratic strongholds along the Mississippi River, which used to have a strong presence of organized labor. White working-class voters in these counties have migrated to the Republican Party, particularly as the Democratic Party has become more progressive. This shift was evident in Howard County, which saw the largest swing from Obama to Trump in the entire country.

Looking ahead, Democrats are hoping that the new abortion law will mobilize and energize their base for the upcoming legislative and congressional elections in Iowa. However, Link believes that focusing on voter registration is key for the party’s success. He emphasizes the need to register more Democratic voters and to engage with all counties in the state, rather than writing them off. By listening to voters and tailoring their strategies to different regions, Democrats may have a better chance of making an impact in Iowa.

In conclusion, Iowa’s political landscape has undergone a significant transformation, transitioning from a battleground state to a solidly red one. The Republican Party’s control over the governor’s office, state legislature, and congressional delegation reflects this shift. Democrats face the challenge of regaining ground and must focus on voter registration and engaging with all counties in order to make a meaningful impact in future elections.

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