Prepare for a season of unpredictable weather as we transition from an intense summer of wildfires, flooding, and record scorching heat. The natural climate pattern El Niño will bring a mixed bag of conditions for the upcoming winter. Meteorologists forecast that parts of the US may experience a colder and drier winter with more snowfall than usual this year due to the continuation of El Niño. Meanwhile, the western region of the US will experience warmer and wetter conditions, while the mid-Atlantic and northeast may get chillier earlier. Snowfall is expected to be above normal across most snow-prone areas, except for the Pacific Northwest.
A strong El Niño year, driven by a subtropical jet stream, leads to more moisture in the air. In areas like the southeastern US, a rainy winter might be more common, but if temperatures get cold enough for long enough—as is predicted for this winter—those areas could instead see snow.
While a colder winter doesn’t necessarily mean a snowier one, it spells good news for the snowplowing services industry. The US snowplowing services industry estimates it will generate around $25.6 billion in revenue in 2023, continuing a trend of increasing costs for plowing and deicing.
The snowplowing industry thrives in the Frost Belt, which includes the mid-Atlantic, New England, and Great Lakes regions. Parking lot and street plowing contribute about half of the industry’s revenue, while deicing accounts for about a third. According to IBISWorld, the industry is expected to have another high year of revenue.
A colder and earlier winter for some
The Farmer’s Almanac, a 225-year-old source that has a loyal following but is met with skepticism by some meteorologists, predicts an earlier and colder start to winter in the Northeast, with snowfall beginning as early as November. The Atlantic corridor is expected to receive above average snowfall. Central US states may also see above-average precipitation, with slightly above average snowfall. The snowiest periods are predicted to occur at the end of December, late January, and mid-February. With the early onset of a snowy and wet winter, snowplowing services will have a head start to their busy season.
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