The leader of the Wagner Group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, made a calculated decision to halt the advance towards Moscow and instead instructed his troops to return to Ukraine to avoid unnecessary bloodshed, according to an expert. Former CIA station chief, Dan Hoffman, believes that Prigozhin realized the unfavorable odds of reaching Moscow and decided to change course. This decision has likely made Prigozhin an enemy of Vladimir Putin. It is impossible to seize control of the Rostov military district without becoming a foe of Putin. The Belarusian President, Alexander Lukashenko, reportedly negotiated a settlement with Prigozhin after consulting Putin. The settlement offered security guarantees for the Wagner Group troops in exchange for their return. While the conflict between the Wagner Group and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has attracted international attention, experts believe that this situation will have minimal impact on the situation in Ukraine. It is only if a civil war were to erupt and Putin needed to withdraw troops from eastern Ukraine that the dynamics on the battlefield would change. The recent incident has shed light on Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the Wagner Group, who accused Shoigu of ordering a rocket strike on their field camps. Prigozhin has declared this to be a march of justice against the military leadership that embodies evil. The Defense Ministry denies carrying out the rocket attack. A criminal investigation has been opened against Prigozhin for incitement to armed rebellion.
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