Inflation has finally subsided, as have gas prices, Covid deaths, violent crime, and illegal immigration. Unemployment remains at record lows, and the economy is thriving with rising wages, increased consumer confidence, and a surging stock market. However, President Biden’s approval rating remains low, which is a cause for concern.
According to a recent survey by The New York Times and Siena College, only 39 percent of respondents approved of President Biden’s performance. In fact, his average approval rating, based on multiple polls by FiveThirtyEight, is 41.2 percent, which is lower than most presidents at this stage of their term in the last 75 years, except for Jimmy Carter.
This raises the question for Democrats of whether President Biden’s low approval rating is a temporary setback that will improve as the country continues to progress, or if it reflects a more significant challenge in securing a second term in a highly polarized political climate.
Despite these concerns, President Biden’s team remains optimistic. They point to the positive trendlines in the economy and public health, attributing these improvements to the president’s policies, such as effective Covid-19 vaccinations, extensive relief spending, and investments in infrastructure and clean energy. They believe that these achievements will serve as a strong foundation for President Biden’s re-election campaign.
Republicans, on the other hand, are working to create a contrasting narrative, emphasizing issues like rising crime, uncontrolled immigration, and economic challenges. Former President Donald J. Trump has been particularly vocal in painting a dystopian picture of the country.
While public opinion is slowly shifting, it takes time for perceptions to align with the actual conditions on the ground. History shows that presidents can overcome initial obstacles and secure re-election when the economy improves and public confidence grows. However, lingering effects of past hardships and ongoing concerns, such as inflation and border security, still impact public perception.
Furthermore, the current political landscape is more divisive, with partisanship playing a significant role in public opinion. Presidents can no longer rely on bipartisan support and must instead focus on mobilizing their own party’s voters. This makes it harder to achieve high approval ratings and broad support across the aisle.
Despite these challenges, President Biden and his team are determined to maintain a positive message and highlight the successes of his administration. While his approval rating may be lagging, they believe that with time and continued progress, the public will recognize the positive impact of his policies and position him for a successful re-election bid.
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