China’s Economic Concerns Intensify as Evergrande Seeks US Bankruptcy Protection

Evergrande, the troubled Chinese developer, has taken the step of filing for U.S. bankruptcy protection as part of its ongoing debt restructuring process. This move comes amidst growing concerns about China’s property crisis and its impact on the country’s economy. In an attempt to support struggling economic activity, China has unexpected lowered key interest rates, with further cuts expected in the coming days. However, experts believe that these measures are not enough to prevent the economy from further decline and that more decisive action is needed.

Once the leading developer in China, Evergrande is now facing an unprecedented debt crisis in the country’s property sector. The sector, which accounts for a significant portion of the Chinese economy, has been hit hard by liquidity issues this year. By seeking protection under Chapter 15 of the U.S. bankruptcy code, Evergrande aims to shield itself from legal action by creditors during its restructuring process, which has been ongoing for over 18 months.

In its filing, Evergrande clarified that the application for bankruptcy protection is a procedural step in the offshore debt restructuring process and not a bankruptcy petition. The company intends to move forward with its restructuring, which involves $31.7 billion in bonds, collateral, and repurchase obligations. Evergrande will meet with its creditors later this month to discuss its restructuring proposal.

The property crisis in China has had a domino effect on other developers, leading to defaults on offshore debt obligations, unfinished homes, and unpaid suppliers. This situation has raised concerns about the risk of contagion to the financial system and its potential impact on an already weakened economy. Several major institutions in China, including an asset manager and the country’s top private developer, have warned of liquidity crises and cash crunches.

The economic and property woes in China, coupled with the lack of concrete stimulus measures, have had a chilling effect on global markets. Asian shares have experienced three consecutive weeks of decline, with Chinese blue-chips dropping 1.2% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slumping 2.1%. China’s securities regulator has announced measures to boost investor confidence, such as cutting trading costs and supporting share buybacks. However, these measures have failed to impress financial markets, and some analysts are questioning if policymakers are hesitant to take further action due to concerns about adding to the country’s debt burden.

Despite the challenges faced by the Chinese economy, experts believe that a full-blown financial crisis is a tail risk rather than a probable outcome. China’s central bank has reaffirmed its commitment to adjusting and optimizing property policies, indicating its awareness of the need for intervention. Since mid-2021, 40% of Chinese home sales have been by companies that have defaulted, mostly private property developers.

In response to changing supply and demand dynamics, Longfor Group, China’s second-largest private developer, has announced plans to improve profitability and strive for positive cash flow this year while avoiding new interest-bearing debt. However, the overall situation in the Chinese property sector remains precarious, and there is a sense that the central government has yet to introduce sufficiently robust measures to address the challenges it faces.

In conclusion, Evergrande’s decision to file for U.S. bankruptcy protection marks a significant development in one of the largest debt restructurings in the world. The ongoing property crisis in China and its impact on the economy have caused widespread concerns, leading to a decline in financial markets. While China has taken some measures to support the economy, experts believe that more decisive action is needed. The property sector’s struggles have not only affected Evergrande but have also caused defaults and financial difficulties for other developers. The situation highlights the need for comprehensive and effective measures to stabilize the sector and prevent further economic downturn.

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