The Labour Party has wisely chosen to distance itself from the recent political chaos that has engulfed the government and the Conservative Party. However, with Boris Johnson now committed to stepping down as prime minister, Labour may find it harder to stay out of the political spotlight. They will likely seize the opportunity to capitalize on the distasteful and dramatic events that led to Johnson’s acceptance of reality. Furthermore, given the turmoil their current leader has put them through, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Conservatives continue to implode in a manner that is detrimental to their electoral prospects.
Nevertheless, it is expected that the Conservatives will ultimately breathe a sigh of relief as the Johnson era comes to an end, allowing them to move forward and select a new, competent, albeit less entertaining, leader. History has shown that the public tends to quickly lose interest in revisiting past political dramas and instead focuses on appraising the offerings of the two main parties in terms of change.
This parallels the situation Neil Kinnock faced after John Major replaced Baroness Thatcher as prime minister in 1990. At that time, Kinnock had been the leader of the Labour Party for over seven years, while Major was a fresh face. Although there were some murmurs within the shadow cabinet about the need for Labour to undergo cosmetic changes to keep up with its rival, these discussions never gained much traction. Nevertheless, wiser heads recognized that the party was at a distinct disadvantage, which proved to be true in the end.
As we approach the end of this year, and the voters become accustomed to their new prime minister, how will Labour embrace the renewed focus on Keir Starmer and his vision for the country? A similar question can be posed regarding Nicola Sturgeon, who shamelessly and cynically portrays Johnson as the English bogeyman threatening Scotland’s interests. The Conservative Party’s opponents also face uncertainty as the political landscape undergoes transformation.
Unlike Kinnock, Starmer does not yet have the same level of experience in his role. Furthermore, he has not yet faced a general election or experienced rejection by the voters. While his calm and composed persona may have been appealing as an alternative to Johnson’s unpredictable bombast, this image may no longer hold once Johnson’s successor assumes office. Voters may consider that the desired change has already occurred, just as Major represented the change that many sought to see in 1990.
Today, Remainers and rejoiners are celebrating their victory. However, they should savor it while it lasts, as a sensible Conservative Party, if it still exists, will undoubtedly capitalize on the drama of the past two days.
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