The decision of President Biden’s potential second term will be heavily influenced by his performance in the key battleground states in 2024, as he plans to go head to head with former President Trump again. Despite Biden’s significant gains in 2020, some Democrats are expressing concerns about his chances in the upcoming election and are urging caution. Recent polling data from major swing states has only deepened fears for Biden, as he trails Trump in some surveys.
Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia are expected to present particularly difficult challenges in this upcoming election, as Biden’s poll numbers have dropped among previously dependable voter groups including Black, Latino, and young voters. Additionally, traditional battlegrounds like Michigan and Pennsylvania are showing a shift away from Biden, indicating that the Midwest, which was essential to Biden’s last victory, could be open for the taking in the future election.
Here are the six crucial battlegrounds that Biden will need to focus on:
Arizona
In 2020, Arizona played a central role in Biden’s presidential victory, defying the odds against Trump with a strong Latino voter turnout. Despite this success, the trend in Arizona appears to be shifting, as the president’s economic message has failed to resonate with crucial voter groups amid rising concerns over high inflation. Furthermore, Biden is facing competition not only from Trump but also from independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is gaining significant support.
Nevada
Early surveys from Nevada are painting a bleak picture for Biden, with polls showing him trailing Trump by a significant margin. Nevada was one of the battlegrounds Biden narrowly won in 2020, but his approval ratings have since declined, presenting a cause for concern. The Biden campaign is making an early push in Nevada to counteract these trends and create a more favorable standing in the state.
Georgia
Biden achieved a significant victory in Georgia in the 2020 election, but his absence has dampened the enthusiasm of some voters. With growing concerns around Trump’s legal challenges, Biden’s approval among Georgia voters has seen a decline. Recent surveys indicate that Trump is currently leading Biden in the state.
Pennsylvania
Biden’s home state of Pennsylvania is presenting a challenge for the incumbent president. While he initially relied on his Pennsylvania roots to secure voters, his favorability has slipped, and he is trailing Trump in early polls. The Biden campaign and the Democratic National Committee have launched an advertising campaign to bolster his image and highlight his achievements.
Michigan
Biden’s success in Michigan during the last election is being met with new challenges. His handling of the Israel-Hamas war has led to decreased support among Arab Americans and Muslims, who traditionally vote Democratic. Polls show that Biden’s standing has significantly declined compared to his last campaign, indicating a more arduous path to victory.
In preparation for the 2024 election, President Biden will need to navigate these battleground states carefully, as the competition against former President Trump intensifies.
