New York Governor Kathy Hochul (D) has 10 days to announce a special election date for Santos’ seat in the 3rd Congressional District. The special election is critical for both Democrats and Republicans as it could potentially decide control of Congress in the upcoming 2024 presidential election.
The swing district encompasses a stretch of northeast Queens and northwestern Long Island that President Joe Biden carried in 2020 but delivered Republicans the House by electing Santos in 2022. Despite New York’s Electoral College votes being solidly in Biden’s favor for the next year’s presidential election, the district represents a crucial battleground for many groups the president must win elsewhere, including suburban professionals, Asian Americans, and centrist Jewish voters with pro-Israel views.
The decision about who will appear on the ballot is crucial and it won’t simply be made by local party officials. The strategic implications of this special election can’t be underestimated; the timing and location will provide insight into the national political climate ahead of the 2024 presidential election. Additionally, the special election will be a closely fought race between the leading contenders for the Democratic and Republican nominations.
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