Kyiv has demonstrated to Moscow that their assumption of dealing with a fearful rodent was gravely mistaken. However, in the past week, it was Putin who felt the weight of the world on his shoulders.
The seismic impact of Yevgeny Prigozhin’s revolt has yet to fully register. While the Russian president’s power structure remains intact, few believe that its core has not been shaken by the rebellion.
As EU and Nato leaders gathered to discuss critical assistance for Ukraine, the underlying implications of an unstable Russia took center stage.
The possibility of a civil war in a country possessing the most nuclear weapons is a horrifying thought, but avoiding such consideration may be even more catastrophic. Putin, who has become a pariah, still had some semblance of control, providing hope for maintaining order. However, the prospect of the Wagner chief seizing power or causing further chaos cannot be discounted.
As Nato chief Jens Stoltenberg stated, “The mutiny we witnessed over the weekend demonstrates the cracks and divisions within the Russian system.”
It is crucial for all leaders to refrain from making volatile comments that could exacerbate the situation. Nevertheless, many believe that this escapade has reached deep into the Kremlin, and its ramifications could be enormous.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz chose not to engage in speculation but acknowledged that the consequences of the revolt would undoubtedly have a lasting impact in Russia.
EU’s top diplomat Josep Borrell was less reserved, warning that the failed mutiny has made Putin even more dangerous for his Western neighbors. “It’s evident that Putin emerges from this crisis weakened, but a weaker Putin poses a greater danger,” he cautioned.
EU leaders recognize that the war in Ukraine and the events in Russia have reached a critical stage. While there may not be a desire to commit to military guarantees, every effort will be made to exert more pressure on Moscow.
There is a heightened focus on utilizing the €200 billion in frozen Russian assets within the EU to assist Kyiv, but a clear legal framework for doing so is still missing.
As calls for concerted action increase, Taoiseach Leo Varadkar assured that Ireland’s neutral position would be respected. The block also agreed to provide “future security commitments” in light of the escalating instability.
Kyiv is advocating for a clearer path into NATO to deter Moscow from further aggression. In this crucial time, it is imperative to think before acting, prioritize level-headedness, and conduct sober assessments.
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