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Earlier this year, China proudly announced that the renminbi had surpassed the US dollar in its own cross-border payments, signaling its efforts to internationalize its currency.
While China’s status as the world’s second-largest economy and leading trading power, coupled with its emergence as a financial hub comparable to the US, may suggest that the renminbi is poised to become the next global currency, a recent Goldman Sachs report suggests otherwise.
According to SWIFT, the market share of the renminbi in international payments has increased by more than double in the past decade, from 1.1% in 2013 to 2.5% by May 2023.
However, this remains significantly lower compared to the US dollar’s 43% market share, which has actually grown over the same period. Even the British pound maintains nearly three times the importance as an international payments currency.
The portion of renminbi-settled trade in Chinese goods and services has increased by 5.8% over the past decade, reaching almost 20%.
Goldman Sachs highlights that the currency’s overall growth in cross-border payments is primarily driven by increased foreign trading of RMB-denominated securities.
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