The Milwaukee Brewers will kick off a series against the struggling New York Mets in Queens. Discover how our sports expert is analyzing the matchup and enhance your betting experience by taking advantage of a fantastic offer from BetMGM.
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Despite having the highest payroll in baseball, the New York Mets have been struggling, winning only 5 out of their last 20 games. This slump has pushed them down to fourth place in the NL East, trailing the Atlanta Braves by 15 games. With their World Series odds dropping from the fourth-best to seven games below .500, the Mets are faced with a loss of faith from a significant portion of their fanbase.
Injuries to key pitchers like Brandon Woodruff, Wade Miley, and Eric Lauer have forced the Milwaukee Brewers to rely on Colin Rea in their rotation. Rea, who had only one MLB appearance in 2021 and recently played in Japan, signed a Minor League contract with the Brewers during the offseason. He has already made 12 starts for the team, posting a 4.88 ERA and a 4.28 xERA, placing him in the lower half of several statistical categories within the league.
Injuries hindered the start of Rea’s tenure in New York, and in his nine starts, he holds a record of 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA. While his 3.88 xERA provides some hope, his strikeout rate has significantly dropped, reaching a career low. His fastball velocity has also decreased, leading to opponents making solid contact. As a result, Rea ranks in the bottom 20% of the league in hard-hit rate and the bottom 15% in average exit velocity.
Both Rea and the Mets’ starters have struggled in recent outings, giving up at least four runs in three of their last five starts. Additionally, both teams have struggling bullpens, with the Milwaukee Brewers ranking 23rd in reliever xFIP and the New York Mets ranking 25th.
Despite offensive struggles from both teams, this matchup presents an opportunity for them to make solid contact, put the ball in play, and potentially score runs.
Pick: Over 8.5
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