The upcoming 2024 race is positioning itself as a potential rematch between former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden. However, this scenario has left many Americans dissatisfied and looking for alternative options. No Labels, a nonprofit organization, has captured attention by positioning itself as a centrist alternative to both parties. According to a report by the Wall Street Journal, No Labels is actively working to qualify for the ballot in all states and has hinted at the possibility of running a third-party candidate, provided they have a viable chance of winning. Democratic and liberal groups are concerned that such a campaign would ultimately lead to a victory for Donald Trump.
“It is a remarkable display of overconfidence and irresponsibility,” remarks Rick Wilson, co-founder of the Lincoln Project. “They have made a deliberate choice to undermine Joe Biden financially and personally.” Tori Otten, writing for the New Republic, examines the history of third-party candidates and arrives at a similar conclusion: “If No Labels persists, it may inadvertently hand an easy victory to Trump.” However, David Walker, co-founder of No Labels, argues in an essay for the Hill that the concerns about the group benefiting Trump are unfounded.
“They continuously ignore the fact that No Labels has made it clear that it will not offer a third option if there is no realistic chance of winning the Electoral College,” Walker writes, clarifying that the decision will be made next spring. “No Labels has the ability to withdraw a third option several months before the election if the path to victory disappears.” The group asserts that any potential candidate would appeal to both Republicans and Democrats, but an analysis from FiveThirtyEight suggests that No Labels is overly optimistic about its chances.
“First and foremost, the share of the electorate comprised of independent moderates is not large enough to secure a presidential election victory,” explains Geoffrey Skelley. “Additionally, despite dissatisfaction with Biden and Trump, they are still popular within their respective parties, diminishing the appeal of a No Labels candidate.” The Wall Street Journal highlights that No Labels, which has been around for 13 years, is not required to disclose its donors and is described as having “mysterious funding.” (One notable public backer is billionaire Harlan Crow, known for his close relationship with Clarence Thomas.)
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