Legendary Pittsburgh Pirates announcer Bob Prince was known for his infectious optimism. When his team achieved an improbable comeback victory, Prince would confidently declare, “We had ’em all the way.” Unfortunately, Ron DeSantis, the Florida governor and Republican presidential candidate, is not currently experiencing the same level of luck. In fact, he finds himself in desperate need of a miraculous comeback. Once viewed as a promising future leader of the Republican Party, DeSantis now enters the first presidential primary debate as a disappointed candidate. Despite being in second place according to the polls, he is much closer to becoming irrelevant than to becoming the front-runner. In fact, the RealClearPolitics average of August polls shows him trailing Donald Trump by a staggering 40-point margin, which continues to widen. This is a remarkable change considering that DeSantis was leading the polls just last year. Trump’s lead is not limited to national polls either. In Iowa, DeSantis is behind by 27 points, and in New Hampshire, he trails by 31 points. This puts DeSantis at risk of falling behind other candidates, such as Tim Scott and Chris Christie, who are gaining ground in both states. As a result, DeSantis is bombarded with advice from external sources on how to improve his campaign. The suggestions range from doing more of one thing and less of another, but they all reflect the sense of the onlookers and critics. Even the leaked memo from his super PAC simply advises him to show more emotion and attack Joe Biden and the media. Meanwhile, Trump maintains a considerable lead of 46% over both DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy. While the advice DeSantis receives may have some merit, it is worth considering that it may ultimately be meaningless. What if DeSantis, or any other candidate for that matter, couldn’t have done anything to change the course of this year’s race? What if Trump already has a solid grip on the nomination, and all the efforts made to challenge him are simply wishful thinking? Many opponents and their donors believed that Trump had a fixed level of support among GOP primary voters, and anything above that level was considered persuadable. However, polls have consistently shown Trump maintaining strong support, averaging nearly 55% in the last 10 national polls. The supposed soft support for his opponents has instead grown and solidified. It is possible that DeSantis and others failed to sway the persuadable voters, or it could be that the criminal indictments against Trump, all brought by Democratic prosecutors, actually strengthened his base. Despite the ongoing legal proceedings, the race is far from over. The Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary are still months away. While the unfolding legal cases against Trump could potentially have an impact, it would be unwise to assume that. To win the nomination, someone will have to successfully challenge Trump. Trump himself seems aware of this, as evidenced by his decision to skip the debate and instead do an interview with Tucker Carlson on Twitter. This clever move puts him in direct competition with the candidates and news media for attention. There is also the wildcard of the scandal surrounding Joe Biden, which could shake up the race further. Media outlets that have previously dismissed allegations of Biden’s involvement in Hunter Biden’s influence-peddling now face mounting evidence that they can no longer ignore. If this scandal gains traction, it could create panic among Democrats, potentially changing the dynamics of the GOP race as well. While Trump would likely benefit from such a situation, it could also lead to unforeseeable outcomes. In any case, America may be on the brink of a major reset.
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