President Joe Biden’s poll numbers continue to plummet. November kicked off with New York Times/Siena College polls revealing that Trump was leading in four of the six swing states. Following this, more indicators of Biden’s electoral peril emerged. In head-to-head matchups with Trump, Biden’s position continues to decline. Among the 13 separate pollsters surveyed this month, Biden’s standing is worse in all but two of them compared to their previous polls.
While most of the movement in these polls seems to be from voters abandoning Biden, Trump has also started to gain momentum. Trump’s vote share in the national polling average is currently at its highest point in the past year.
At the state level, Trump has shown significant leads, including an 8-point advantage in Arizona and a 5-point lead in Michigan. The recent dip in Biden’s numbers highlights his political predicament nearly a year before Election Day.
Biden’s slide has raised concerns about the loss of crucial Democratic constituencies, such as young voters, along with the impact of independent and third-party candidates. Recent polls have shown that Trump is even leading among voters younger than 35, a demographic that typically supports Democrats. This trend has sparked a debate over whether Trump is making significant inroads with younger voters or if the numbers are a result of polling biases.
In addition to the decline in his head-to-head matchups against Trump, Biden’s approval ratings are also on a downward trend. Meanwhile, Trump’s numbers are rising, indicating a significant shift in the political landscape.
The decline in Biden’s numbers has been a steady trend, with approval ratings dropping over the past several months. Swing states are also moving away from Biden, leading to concerns about his standing in pivotal battleground states.
Despite efforts to boost his numbers through TV ads, Biden’s poll numbers continue to deteriorate in these crucial states. With Trump leading in several swing states, the situation does not look favorable for the incumbent.
The impact of third-party candidates remains uncertain, but they could potentially affect the electoral math for both Biden and Trump. It’s becoming increasingly clear that Biden’s deficit cannot be attributed to third-party candidates running.
In conclusion, the continuous slide in Biden’s poll numbers, including his decline in swing states and his struggle to appeal to young voters, reflects a significant challenge for his administration as the 2024 election approaches. Despite efforts to revive his standing, the current trend highlights a potential electoral predicament for the president.
