Last Saturday, Hamas launched a ruthless and spectacular attack on southern Israel. This act of atrocity demonstrated the weakness of Israeli intelligence and defenses, surpassing any previous brutal acts in the long-standing conflict. However, above all, it was intended as a trap for Israel.
Hamas and its Iranian backers had a conscious strategy behind this attack. They aimed to provoke a strong emotional response from Israel, goading them into a prolonged ground assault in Gaza. Israel is now preparing for this ground assault in order to eradicate Hamas as an organization and destroy its infrastructure.
Hamas meticulously planned its assault, anticipating Israel’s counterattack. The Israeli military is likely to encounter a determined insurgency in Gaza. Despite Israel’s control from the outside, Gaza has remained out of their dominion. The Israeli siege of Gaza has made it a virtual open-air prison, with brutal conditions imposed on the residents.
Hamas sought to destroy the status quo and seize control of the Palestinian national movement from Fatah. By attacking Israel and claiming to defend Muslim holy places, Hamas aimed to diminish Fatah’s influence and portray armed struggle as superior to diplomacy.
Furthermore, Hamas and Iran aimed to block the diplomatic-normalization agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia, which poses a threat to Hamas’s interests. Iran would face a major strategic setback if Israel and Saudi Arabia build cooperation. Therefore, Hamas and Iran orchestrated this attack to delay the agreement’s progress.
Hamas and Iran hope Israel will refuse to return to the previous status quo and instead initiate a prolonged ground occupation of Gaza. They anticipate that Gaza will become a slaughterhouse for Israeli soldiers, achieving their desired goal.
It is crucial for Israel to exercise restraint and avoid falling into this trap. By doing so, Israel can thwart the goals of Hamas and Iran, while also ensuring the progress of the diplomatic opening with Saudi Arabia. Restraint would deal a significant blow to revisionist powers and maintain a rules-based international order.
However, it seems that Israel is eager to engage in this trap, which is predictable given the circumstances. In the efforts to eliminate Hamas and prevent its resurgence, Israel appears ready to make this blunder.
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