Implications of a New House Speaker on Ukraine Aid: What You Need to Know

The future of aid to Ukraine is at stake as House Republicans debate who will be their next speaker. The selection of a successor to former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy will have a significant impact on the funding the U.S. provides to Ukraine. The White House and many lawmakers are pushing for additional funding to be passed while Congress works on its spending bills to avoid a government shutdown in mid-November. However, the lack of an elected speaker has paralyzed Congress for now.

Ukraine has become a contentious issue within the Republican conference, particularly among hardline conservatives. Recently, the House passed a measure to temporarily fund the government until mid-November, but only after Republicans dropped $6 billion in Ukraine aid.

Following McCarthy’s ousting, President Biden expressed concerns about the future of aid to Ukraine and announced plans to deliver a “major speech” on the topic. However, he didn’t directly address how long the U.S. can continue funding Ukraine without additional authority from Congress.

While a majority of lawmakers may support Ukraine funding, it ultimately depends on whether the next speaker chooses to bring a vote on Ukraine funding to the House floor. GOP Rep. Jim Jordan, a contender for speaker, has cast doubt on prioritizing new funding for Ukraine. He believes that the border situation and crime on the streets should take precedence over Ukraine.

The House’s infighting regarding Ukraine comes at a critical time when Ukraine is facing aggression from Russia. U.S. officials have warned of possible renewed onslaughts from Russian President Vladimir Putin during winter. Additionally, North Korea has reportedly started transferring artillery to Russia, further supporting Moscow’s supplies.

The consequences of not passing a Ukraine supplemental in the House are severe. It will cost lives, hinder the reconstruction of Ukraine, and potentially turn the tide of war in Russia’s favor. It’s crucial for the U.S. to provide assistance to Ukraine, especially as winter approaches.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine personally visited members of Congress to express his gratitude for their support. However, President Biden acknowledged that without Congress’ support, there is little he can do to financially aid Ukraine in the future. The president hinted at the possibility of finding alternative means to assist Ukraine, but he didn’t provide further details.

Currently, Speaker Pro Tempore Patrick McHenry has limited authority until a new speaker is elected, making it impossible to pass funding for Ukraine or any other matter in the House.

It’s worth noting that waning support for Ukraine among some Republicans in Congress reflects a similar trend among Republican voters, more than a year-and-a-half after Russia’s assault began. According to a September CBS News poll, 56% of Republicans believe the Biden administration should do less to help Ukraine, compared to 15% of Democrats.

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