Exploring the Olive Oil Crisis: How Spain and Global Scarcity Drive Up Prices

Extreme heat, wildfires, and drought have devastated the global olive oil harvest once again, resulting in skyrocketing prices. The cost of olive oil has reached an all-time high of $9,000 per metric ton.

While most home cooks don’t buy olive oil by the ton, they have experienced the impact of rising prices. In the United States, retail olive oil prices have increased by 12.5 percent this year, following an 8.8 percent increase in 2022, due to extreme weather events in olive oil-producing countries. This information comes from Circana, a market research firm based in Chicago.

Spain, which supplies half of the world’s olive oil, has seen a considerable drop in production compared to last year. The Spanish government’s olive oil report for August revealed dwindling supplies, raising concerns about future availability.

Recently, the U.S. Department of Agriculture revised its global olive oil production estimate. The new estimate is 25% lower than the previous year and the five-year average. This decrease in production has further contributed to the high prices of olive oil.

Climate change’s latest victim: the olive oil you cook with

According to the agency, olive oil prices in August were 130% higher compared to the previous year. The future of olive oil production appears grim due to climate change and its impact on extreme weather conditions.

Mintec analyst Kyle Holland warned that if the current pace of depletion continues, olive oil supplies could be exhausted before the arrival of fresh harvests, which typically occur in Spain around October.

Unfortunately, the situation for the upcoming olive oil season doesn’t look promising either. The drought and lack of water in Spain over the past months have raised concerns. Additionally, recent storms have damaged the upcoming harvest in Apulia, Italy’s most important olive oil production region. Italy is the second-largest olive oil producer globally.

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