No. 2 Michigan is set to face Rutgers in their Big Ten opener at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor. The Wolverines have been dominant in their first three games of the season, scoring 30 or more points in each contest. This will be their fourth consecutive home game before they hit the road to Nebraska next week. On the other hand, Rutgers will be playing their first away game after coming off a win against Virginia Tech in Week 3.
The SportsLine consensus lists Michigan as 24-point favorites with an over/under of 43.5 points. Before making any picks, it’s advisable to refer to the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine. Their Projection Model has simulated every FBS college football game 10,000 times and has consistently generated significant profit for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread.
Michigan under head coach Jim Harbaugh has been performing exceptionally well this season. The team has won all three of their home games by large margins, outscoring their opponents 96-16. Their defense has been particularly impressive, currently ranking second in FBS in total defense and first in scoring defense. Offensively, running back Blake Corum has been outstanding, scoring six rushing touchdowns and gaining 254 yards on the ground, making him the second-highest scorer in the country in rushing touchdowns. Additionally, Michigan has a strong track record against Rutgers, winning their last eight meetings and 15 consecutive conference games.
While Michigan is the favorite, Rutgers should not be underestimated. They have been undervalued in previous matchups, covering the spread in four out of their last six meetings with Michigan. They have also covered in four of their last six games overall, including a 35-16 win over Virginia Tech as 6.5-point favorites last week. Rutgers’ defense has been impressive, allowing an average of just 10 points per game, making them the toughest defense Michigan has faced so far this season. If Michigan’s quarterback J.J. McCarthy makes mistakes like he did against Bowling Green with three interceptions, it will make it difficult for Michigan to cover the large spread against a quality opponent like Rutgers.
To make an informed pick for the Michigan vs. Rutgers game, the SportsLine model recommends considering their simulation results. The model favors the game going over the set point total and has also generated a point-spread pick that hits in over 50% of simulations. To see which side of the spread they predict and to get more insight, visit SportsLine.
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