Has dining out become a luxury once more?

Last week, I had the opportunity to experience dining at a well-regarded restaurant in the West End. The bill came out to over £400 for a meal for two, including a bottle of wine. Similarly, a few weeks ago, I ordered a pie from a Mayfair restaurant which cost £95. My dining companion, a German journalist, expressed his surprise at the high price. He remarked that while the pie was good, it wasn’t worth the hefty price tag. After all, a pie is just a pie.

As a reviewer and restaurateur, I recognize that people with money have the right to spend it as they please. However, the rising cost of dining out is becoming a concern. In the year leading up to March, food inflation in the UK was at 19.2%, compared to the headline figure of 10.1%. From my personal experience, I have noticed that prices in mid-range restaurants are increasing at an even faster rate. As someone in the industry, I am doing my best to manage these price hikes, but I believe there is a lack of understanding when it comes to the economics of this issue.

The cost of living crisis affects everyone, but it disproportionately impacts those who are less well-off. Similarly, in the business world, larger, more established companies are better equipped to handle these challenges compared to smaller ones. The restaurant sector has been particularly hard-hit, with many establishments struggling to stay afloat even before the pandemic. The high costs of rent and the need for prestige and expensive menus made it difficult for smaller restaurants to survive.

Price inflation is a global issue in the restaurant sector. Places like Manhattan are experiencing steep price increases, but customers continue to dine out. However, in Britain, the mood is less optimistic. For years, restaurants have been operating with a rough formula of 30% ingredient costs, 30% wages, 30% overheads, and 10% profit. This formula explains why rising ingredient costs, fuel bills, and staff wages are all contributing to the challenges faced by the industry.

The lockdowns highlighted the lack of common ground within the hospitality industry. Each segment, whether it’s large chains or independent restaurants, faces unique problems. While some restaurants have been able to raise prices to cope with rising costs, others are struggling due to fixed rents and budget constraints. It’s a difficult balancing act, and there may be further challenges ahead.

In my conversation with Tom Kerridge, a renowned chef, he shared his experience with raising prices at his Michelin-starred restaurant. Despite some initial criticism, he believed it was necessary due to the increasing costs of operating a high-quality establishment. The public has been largely supportive, understanding the craftsmanship and skill that goes into creating a memorable dining experience.

However, pleasing consumers is only one part of the equation. I spoke with the head of a small restaurant group who highlighted the challenges with rent reviews and landlords who are resistant to lowering rents. This creates a difficult situation for restaurants already dealing with rising costs.

Reflecting on the past, I realize how much the culture of dining out has changed. In my childhood, going to a restaurant was a rare and special occasion. Now, it has become a regular part of my life, with expectations of convenience and affordability. This shift in norms is something I sometimes struggle to comprehend.

The food culture in Britain evolved significantly around 2000, marking a shift towards greater enthusiasm for culinary experiences. However, with rising prices and financial challenges, there is a need to reassess the sustainability of the current food culture. We must find a balance that allows for both creativity and affordability in the restaurant industry.

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