The centrist group No Labels is observing an increasing demand for a third-party presidential candidate in the 2024 election, as indicated by opinion polls. In response, Democratic strategists have joined forces with factions opposed to former President Trump in order to counteract this movement. Notable figures such as former White House chief of staff Ron Klain and co-founder of the anti-Trump Lincoln Project, Bill Kristol, recently attended an event organized by Third Way to address No Labels’ political efforts. Although details of the event remain confidential, a spokesman for Third Way confirmed its occurrence.
A recent poll suggests that one in four voters prefer an unnamed potential candidate, surpassing both President Biden and former President Trump, who are currently the frontrunners, a year and a half before the 2024 election. This data has given No Labels confidence in its prospects for victory in 2024. David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, acknowledged the disruption caused by these voters: “With one-in-four voters opting for an unnamed candidate, voters are disrupting the calculus that they will automatically vote for one of the two major party choices.” The Suffolk poll also revealed that a third of voters from each party desire an alternative candidate for their respective tickets.
According to No Labels, this scenario demonstrates that Americans are ready for a viable candidate who avoids the extreme views of both parties. Chief strategist for No Labels, Ryan Clancy, stated that “American voters’ openness to an independent alternative in 2024 is unprecedented.” Clancy further argued that the poll may underestimate the potential support for a third-party candidate. He pointed out that the poll reflected 23% support for an unnamed and undefined alternative against candidates with 100% name recognition. Clancy suggests that a moderate candidate could gain broader support once clearly defined.
On the other hand, Matt Bennett, co-founder of Third Way, believes that polls showcasing support for an unnamed, unaffiliated candidate always fare well because respondents can imagine anyone in that role, from Bernie Sanders to Liz Cheney. Additionally, Bennett asserts that as soon as a candidate is revealed, many of these respondents will opt out.
At present, it remains uncertain who No Labels may nominate as a third-party candidate in 2024, if they choose to do so. While No Labels has labeled President Trump as “unacceptable,” they have not committed to running a candidate if Trump fails to secure the nomination. Concerning Biden, the presumed nominee for the Democratic Party, No Labels has faced criticism that a third-party candidate would help Trump get re-elected. Numerous Democratic operatives and surrogates caution that an independent moderate would siphon support away from Biden. Nevertheless, No Labels insists that their “unity ticket” would attract equal support from Republican and Democrat-leaning voters, securing the necessary electoral votes from crucial states.
Despite No Labels’ optimism, many, including Third Way, find the idea of a third-party victory laughable. Matt Bennett scoffs at the notion, stating, “The notion that No Labels can win ANYWHERE, much less in the 25 states they claim they can carry, is the purest fantasy.” He argues that while third-party candidates may initially perform well in polls, voters eventually realize that voting for them would be a wasted vote and subsequently gravitate towards the major parties.
No Labels, which has successfully acquired ballot spots in several states, including Arizona, Colorado, Alaska, and Oregon, intends to determine whether to nominate a candidate for its ballot slot after early primary contests. They believe that both major parties continue to nominate candidates that most Americans are dissatisfied with, including Trump and Biden. Ryan Clancy emphasizes the general public’s dissatisfaction with their choices, stating, “It still hasn’t registered with much of the political class in Washington just how dissatisfied the public is with their choices and just how much they desire something better.” No Labels sees the 2024 election as an exceptional opportunity for a viable candidate who aligns with neither the Democrats nor Republicans.
In conclusion, No Labels, along with Democratic strategists, is eyeing the demand for a third-party candidate in the 2024 election. They believe that a significant portion of voters are open to an alternative that avoids the extremes of both major parties. However, skeptics argue that third-party candidates tend to lose support as election day approaches. Nevertheless, No Labels remains determined to explore this opportunity and plans to decide on a candidate after early primary contests. They view the 2024 election as a chance to offer the American public a different choice, one that doesn’t align with either major party.
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