The Census reports a 135% surge in California outmigration over the past 2 years, according to the Orange County Register.

The “Survey says” section assesses various rankings and scorecards that evaluate different geographic locations. However, it’s important to note that these grades are a combination of data analysis and interpretation. So, according to recent data from the Census Bureau’s state-to-state migration report for 2021, California is experiencing a significant mismatch in relocation. While interstate moves rose by 6% between 2019 and 2021, the number of Californians relocating to other states has more than doubled compared to newcomers.

Notably, California attracted only 433,402 people across the nation in 2021, down 10% from the 480,204 arrivals in 2019, while it lost 841,065 residents to other states in 2021, up 29% from the 653,551 exits in 2019. This leads to the state’s “net outmigration” or outs minus ins increasing by 135% to 407,663 in 2021 from 173,347 in 2019.

Additionally, California lost more residents in 2021 than any other state, followed by New York, Florida, Texas, and Illinois. However, when considering the loss as a percentage of the population, California’s outflow at 2.2% tied with Florida, which is relatively modest compared to the national average of 2.4%. Outflow rates were lowest in Maine at 1.4%, followed by Texas at 1.5% and Michigan at 1.6%.

In terms of arrivals, California ranked third with 1.1% of all residents, translating to the worst attraction rate among the states, less than half of the national norm. Florida and Texas were the top states with the highest number of newcomers in 2021.

Looking at the net, California had the largest net outmigration with a decrease in population by 250,000 between 2019 and 2021. It’s argued that the reasons for this are the usual complaints, including costs, congestion, civic issues, and stiff pandemic limitations. Moreover, foreign migration is declining, as California arrivals from other lands fell by 29% in these two years to 188,700, while foreign newcomers across the US dropped by 23% due to pandemic travel restrictions.

Overall, the spreadsheet data reveals California’s significant mismatch in relocation with a notable increase in outbound residents and decrease in incoming ones.

Reference

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