Yankees vs. Rays odds, prediction, pick today: Back New York

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Before the Yankees and Rays close out a three-game set tonight in Tampa, Kenny Ducey of the Action Network is here to share his best bet (video above).

Even though the Rays have proven a fickle opponent for the Yankees this season, Ducey believes tonight’s pitching matchup gives the visitors an edge.

New York will send left-hander Jordan Montgomery to the hill Wednesday night, while Tampa Bay will counter with right-hander Shane Baz. According to Ducey, Montgomery should have an edge against this Rays lineup.

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Yankees vs. Rays prediction

“[The] Tampa Bay Rays are 14th in team wRC+ against left-handed pitchers…and 14th in swinging strike rate lately,” Ducey says.

Although Montgomery’s strikeout rate sits at only 19 percent, his whiff rate is in the top-20 percent of the league. As a result, Ducey expects the Rays, which sits 26th in barrel rate over the last two weeks, will struggle to get their bats on the ball.

Jordan Montgomery
Jordan Montgomery
USA TODAY Sports

On the flip-side, although Baz tends to strike out a lot of hitters, there’s one key issue according to Ducey: his inexperience at the major-league level.

Baz has only recorded 21 and two-thirds innings so far this season, with two of his good starts coming against poor teams (the Marlins and the Orioles). Plus, in a start last season against the Yankees, Baz only managed to reach the third inning.


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Add in that Baz struggles to limit hard-hit balls and Ducey believes the Yankees — third in wRC+ over the last two weeks — will be able to take advantage offensively.

For all those reasons, Ducey is recommending to back the New York Yankees for tonight’s contest.

Yankees vs. Rays pick

Yankees moneyline (-140) – Caesars Sportsbook

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