The stock market experienced a dramatic turnaround on Friday, erasing its morning losses after a closer examination of a surprisingly strong report on the US job market. The S&P 500 rallied 1.2% after rebounding from an initial drop of 0.9%, the Dow Jones rose by 288 points, or 0.9%, and the Nasdaq saw a gain of 1.6%. Initially, stocks fell in response to a report revealing that US employers added almost double the number of jobs expected by economists, causing concerns about inflation and potential interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve.
High interest rates are generally frowned upon by Wall Street as they negatively impact the prices of various investments. Despite the Federal Reserve raising its main interest rate to the highest level since 2001, the job market has remained strong. However, high interest rates can dampen inflation, potentially leading to an economic slowdown and increasing the risk of a recession in the future. A potentially positive sign for the Federal Reserve is that average wages rose at a slower rate in September than anticipated by economists. While this may be discouraging for workers trying to keep up with inflation, it could reduce companies’ inclination to raise prices for their products.
Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, believes that the focus should be on moderate wage gains rather than job growth. He states, “The labor market isn’t overheating, it’s still healing.” Average hourly earnings experienced the slowest year-over-year growth since June 2021. The upcoming reports on consumer and wholesale inflation levels will be crucial data points for the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate announcement on November 1.
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