The removal of George Santos from Congress on Friday has relieved Republicans of one major political headache but has set the stage for another pressing challenge. The party will now have to defend his vulnerable seat in a special election scheduled early next year. The New York race is anticipated as one of the most high-profile and expensive off-year House contests in decades. It holds the potential to shrink Republicans’ majority and provide a preview of the broader battle for House control next November. Both parties have been preparing for this possibility for months as Santos’ fabricated biography unraveled and federal criminal charges piled up. The anticipation for the contest is at an all-time high as more than two dozen candidates have shown interest in running, and labor unions, super political action committees, and other organizations have begun earmarking millions of dollars for TV ads. Steve Israel, a Long Island Democrat, described the election as “ground zero of American politics.” Gov. Kathy Hochul of New York has 10 days to schedule the contest after Santos’ expulsion last Friday, but both parties expect it to take place in mid- to late February. Unlike in a normal election, party leaders in Washington and New York will choose the Democratic and Republican nominees, bypassing the primary voters. Democrats are likely to support Thomas Suozzi, a centrist with high recognition and fundraising abilities, while Republicans have yet to finalize nominees. The district, stretching from the outskirts of New York City into Nassau County’s affluent suburbs, is rated as a tossup. President Joe Biden won the district by 8 points in 2020. But the election will pose challenges for both parties, particularly in an idiosyncratic contest where voter turnout will play a major role. The winner in February will likely become the front-runner for next year’s elections and have implications for the ongoing Congressional session as well. This is bound to be a captivating contest with a long-lasting impact.
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