Satellite imagery obtained from Planet Labs PBC on June 30, 2023, reveals the presence of newly constructed tents at a former military base near the town of Osipovichi in Belarus. According to reports from a Belarusian guerrilla group and officials, this camp may potentially be used to accommodate fighters from the Wagner mercenary group. The images provided by Planet Labs PLC indicate that a significant number of tents have been set up in the past two weeks, evident by the absence of these structures in an earlier satellite photo taken on June 15. The leader of the anti-Lukashenko BYPOL guerrilla group, Aliaksandr Azarau, confirmed the ongoing construction activities for the Wagner mercenaries near Osipovichi.
Furthermore, it is estimated that up to 8,000 fighters from the private military force of Wagner may be deployed in Belarus, as stated by a spokesperson for Ukraine’s border force. As a response, Ukraine plans to strengthen its border with Belarus. It is crucial to note that Belarus has a history of allowing the Kremlin to utilize its territory for the transportation of troops and weapons into Ukraine. Belarus has also shown support for Russia’s armed presence within its borders, including the establishment of joint military camps, exercises, and even the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons.
During a Belarusian Independence Day gala, President Alexander Lukashenko mentioned that the Belarusian armed forces could benefit from training with the Wagner members and confidently stated that they posed no threat to Belarusians. Lukashenko further expressed his assurance that the nuclear weapons stationed in Belarus would not be necessary, emphasizing the country’s determination to refrain from engaging directly in Moscow’s conflict with Ukraine.
This recent development highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions in the region and the complex dynamics between Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine. As the situation continues to unfold, it is imperative to closely monitor the actions and implications surrounding the Wagner mercenary group and their potential activities in Belarus.
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