The New Orleans Saints are aiming for their third road win of the 2023 season as they take on the Houston Texans on Sunday afternoon. In Week 5, New Orleans (3-2) dominated the Patriots, winning 34-0, while Houston (2-3) suffered a close defeat of 21-19 to Atlanta. The Saints have yet to win a game at NRG Stadium, and the home team has a perfect 5-0 record in this series. New Orleans has a 1-3-1 record against the spread, while Houston is 3-2 ATS in 2023.
The game is scheduled for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at NRG Stadium in Houston. The latest betting odds favor New Orleans by 1.5 points, with an over/under of 42.5 for total points scored. Before making any predictions or placing any bets, it’s crucial to consult the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
This model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and has been highly successful, earning over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. It currently boasts a 171-119 record on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and has a remarkable 25-11 record on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. The model has also consistently ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch and has outperformed more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times. Following this model’s guidance can lead to significant gains.
Now, the model has turned its attention to the Texans vs. Saints matchup and has made its picks and predictions for Week 6. To see the model’s picks, visit SportsLine. Here are the key NFL odds and betting lines for Saints vs. Texans:
– Spread: Saints -1.5
– Over/Under: 42.5 points
– Money Line: Saints -128, Texans +108
The model’s analysis suggests that the Saints have the potential to cover the spread. Quarterback Derek Carr redeemed himself in Week 5 after a difficult game against Tampa Bay, throwing for 183 yards and two touchdowns against the Patriots. Running back Alvin Kamara, who returned from suspension in Week 4, rushed for 80 yards and caught three passes for 17 yards. The Texans’ defense ranks in the bottom half of the league in rushing yards allowed, so Kamara could play a crucial role in securing a victory for the Saints.
Additionally, the Saints’ defense needs to replicate its performance from last weekend and slow down the Texans’ offense, just as they did against the Patriots. New Orleans limited New England to only 156 total yards and forced three turnovers, including a 27-yard interception return for a touchdown by safety Tyrann Mathieu. Slowing down Houston’s offense will be vital for the Saints’ success.
On the other hand, the Texans have been a pleasant surprise this season, thanks in large part to their talented rookie quarterback, C.J. Stroud. In their two victories, Houston has scored 30 or more points, a feat they only achieved once in the 2022 season. Stroud has been impressive, throwing for seven touchdowns and no interceptions in his first five NFL games. The Texans’ receiving corps, led by both veterans and rookies, has also played well, despite a quieter game in Week 5.
In order for the Texans to cover the spread, Stroud and his receivers will need to surpass their season averages against a strong Saints defense that ranks fourth against the pass, allowing only 183 passing yards per game.
To make your picks for the Texans vs. Saints matchup, consider the insights from the model that has simulated the game 10,000 times. The model indicates that the point total is likely to go under, and one side of the spread has a strong probability of hitting. To see the model’s final pick for Saints vs. Texans and find out which side of the spread you should be on, head over to SportsLine now.
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